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| #540412 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:44 PM 05.Sep.2012) TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 130 PM AST WED SEP 05 2012 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MICHAEL HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH A EYE FEATURE INDICATED IN MICROWAVE OVERPASSES AND A FORMATIVE EYE IN VISIBLE IMAGERY. BASED ON THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 55 KT AND MICHAEL IS NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN 12 HOURS. THE INCREASED INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITY IS THE BASIS FOR THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY. MICHAEL HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. CONSEQUENTLY...THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED A LITTLE EASTWARD. NO ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TRACK FORECAST. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/1730Z 28.5N 42.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 06/0000Z 29.0N 42.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 06/1200Z 29.7N 42.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 07/0000Z 30.3N 42.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 07/1200Z 31.0N 42.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 08/1200Z 32.1N 44.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 09/1200Z 33.3N 45.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 10/1200Z 34.7N 46.3W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
