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| #540471 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 05.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 2100 UTC WED SEP 05 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 42.7W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 42.7W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 42.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.3N 42.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.0N 41.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.6N 41.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.0N 41.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.1N 42.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 33.2N 44.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 34.8N 46.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 42.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
