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| #540685 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 06.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1500 UTC THU SEP 06 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 41.3W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 41.3W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 41.4W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.6N 41.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.2N 41.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.9N 42.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.4N 42.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.4N 44.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 35.2N 45.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 38.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 41.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |
