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| #540842 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 06.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 0300 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 62.2W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 80SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 62.2W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 62.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.8N 62.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.2N 62.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 28.0N 62.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.3N 62.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 37.0N 59.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 43.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 62.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
