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| #541103 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:53 PM 07.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 0300 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 41.8W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 160SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 41.8W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 41.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.2N 42.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.9N 42.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 43.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.9N 43.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 44.0N 47.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 41.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
