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#541564 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 09.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AFFECTING BERMUDA AS LESLIE PASSES TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 62.4W ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A NORTHWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH CONTINUEDACCERLERATION TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD CONTINUE TO PASS EAST OF BERMUDA TODAY... AND BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLAND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 53 MPH...85 KM/H...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT BERMUDA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA TODAY...BUT THESE SHOULD DIMINISH BY TONIGHT. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA... THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ON BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |