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#541820 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 10.Sep.2012) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1100 AM AST MON SEP 10 2012 ...MICHAEL EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT AND WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.6N 46.3W ABOUT 1120 MI...1805 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST. MICHAEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH- NORTHEAST WITH CONTINUED ACCELERATION ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MICHAEL COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |