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| #541822 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 10.Sep.2012) TCMAT3 HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1500 UTC MON SEP 10 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 46.3W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 46.3W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 45.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.8N 47.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.5N 48.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 41.2N 46.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 45.9N 42.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 54.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 46.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
