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#541884 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 10.Sep.2012)
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012

...MICHAEL TURNS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY WEAKENS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 47.6W
ABOUT 1175 MI...1885 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH FURTHER ACCELERATION IS FORECAST LATER TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN