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#542012 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:57 AM 11.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 500 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012 ...STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND... ...CENTER TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...45.7N 56.4W ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR... TO TRITON FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.4 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE WILL MOVE OVER EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...AND MOVE AWAY FROM ATLANTIC CANADA THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL OR FRONTAL CYCLONE LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES... 500 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H WITH A GUST TO 59 MPH...94 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT ST. LAWRENCE NEWFOUNDLAND. A CANADIAN BUOY SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 54 MPH...87 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 69 MPH...111 KM/H WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE CANADIAN BUOY IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT ATLANTIC CANADA TODAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH LESLIE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |