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#542080 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 11.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1500 UTC TUE SEP 11 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO TRITON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.4N 53.6W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 39 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......300NE 270SE 180SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 420SE 720SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 49.4N 53.6W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.7N 55.1W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 54.4N 48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 240SE 200SW 120NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 60.1N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 240SE 180SW 180NW. 34 KT...270NE 360SE 300SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 62.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 240SE 240SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 300SE 300SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 63.0N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 600SE 480SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 61.5N 5.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 420SE 480SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 49.4N 53.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |