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| #5430 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 17.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 0900Z TUE AUG 17 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 39.9W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 39.9W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 39.6W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 24.1N 40.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.4N 41.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 28.6N 41.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 30.5N 40.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 38.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 36.5N 34.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 39.5N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 39.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART |
