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| #543040 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 15.Sep.2012) TCMAT4 HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012 2100 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 48.2W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 35SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 160SE 140SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 48.2W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 49.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 30.7N 45.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 160SE 140SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 30.7N 41.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 160SE 140SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.3N 38.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 160SE 150SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.4N 35.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.0N 32.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 37.0N 31.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N 30.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 48.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
