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#546994 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 01.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 76 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012 1500 UTC MON OCT 01 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF PORTUGAL HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ALL OF THE AZORES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE AZORES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 48 TO 72 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 39.2W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 160 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 39.2W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 39.3W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 35.3N 38.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 34.9N 37.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.9N 36.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 35.4N 34.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 40.0N 29.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 47.0N 27.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 49.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 39.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN |