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| #547059 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 01.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 77 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012 2100 UTC MON OCT 01 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE AZORES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 48 TO 72 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 39.4W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 39.4W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 39.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.0N 38.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.7N 37.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.7N 35.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 35.8N 33.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 42.4N 27.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 47.5N 27.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 39.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN |
