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| #54749 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:31 AM 30.Oct.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE BETA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...BETA MOVING INLAND AND WEAKENING...BUT RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR HONDURAS. AT 10 AM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM... NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR. A GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THIS TRACK WILL TAKE THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND OVER NICARAGUA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BETA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. BETA IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER NICARAGUA BY TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA...WHERE ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...12.7 N... 83.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM EST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
