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#547551 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 03.Oct.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152012 500 PM AST WED OCT 03 2012 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 42.0W ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY THURSDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION THURSDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON THURSDAY. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE INTO A TROUGH ON FRIDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG |