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| #549302 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 11.Oct.2012) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162012 1100 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 72.6W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS UNTIL DISSIPATION OCCURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
