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#552149 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 23.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 0300 UTC WED OCT 24 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 49.2W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 49.2W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 49.8W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.7N 47.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.8N 44.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.9N 41.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.1N 38.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 35.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 49.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |