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| #552272 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 24.Oct.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM TONY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192012 1500 UTC WED OCT 24 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 45.4W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 45.4W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 46.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.5N 42.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.8N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 32.1N 35.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 33.7N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 45.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
