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| #5546 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:06 PM 17.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 0300Z WED AUG 18 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 40.6W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 40.6W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 40.6W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 28.3N 40.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.2N 39.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.8N 38.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.0N 37.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.0N 34.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 39.0N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 46.0N 16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 40.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
