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#5557 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 18.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 0900Z WED AUG 18 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 40.7W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 40.7W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 40.7W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 29.4N 40.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 31.3N 39.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.7N 38.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.8N 37.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.5N 32.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 40.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 46.0N 16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 40.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART |