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| #5573 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 18.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 1500Z WED AUG 18 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 39.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 50SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 39.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 39.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.2N 39.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.5N 39.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.5N 37.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 33.5N 36.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 35.0N 33.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.0N 29.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 44.0N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 39.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |
