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| #56717 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:40 AM 14.Nov.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005 0900Z MON NOV 14 2005 INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 63.2W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 63.2W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 62.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.4N 64.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.1N 66.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.9N 67.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.0N 69.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 16.0N 76.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 63.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH |
