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| #56923 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:00 AM 15.Nov.2005) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005 ...DEPRESSION STILL POORLY ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES... 490 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH... 19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ON ITS WAY TO THE DEPRESSION AND WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL DATA ON THE INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... NORTHERN VENEZUELA... AND POSSIBLY OVER ARUBA... BONAIRE... AND CURACAO. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 67.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER KNABB |
