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| #57036 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:43 PM 15.Nov.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005 0300Z WED NOV 16 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 70.2W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 70.2W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 69.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.1N 74.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.3N 76.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 78.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 81.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 81.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 16.5N 81.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 70.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
