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#5771 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 20.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 2100Z FRI AUG 20 2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 37.7W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 37.7W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 37.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 31.3N 38.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 31.8N 38.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 32.5N 39.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 33.5N 40.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 35.0N 42.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 40.0N 41.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 44.0N 37.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 37.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |