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#5794 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 20.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 0300Z SAT AUG 21 2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 38.3W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 38.3W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 38.1W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.5N 38.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 31.9N 39.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 32.5N 40.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 33.7N 41.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 36.6N 42.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 41.0N 41.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 45.2N 36.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 38.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN |