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| #59071 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:46 AM 29.Nov.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005 1500Z TUE NOV 29 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.4W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 130SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..650NE 600SE 650SW 650NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.4W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.7N 51.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.8N 53.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 32.0N 54.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 32.7N 53.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 100SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 35.0N 45.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 37.0N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |
