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| #605469 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 06.Jun.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 1100 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2013 ...ANDREA WEAKENING SLOWLY AS HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 82.4W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST. ANDREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF ANDREA WILL MOVE FROM NORTH FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOVE NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY FRIDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER EASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD FROM EASTERN VIRGINIA TO EASTERN MAINE. ADDITIONAL RAIN TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN OUTER BANDS WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF ANDREA OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT WATERS LEVELS ARE FALLING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA. HOWEVER PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COULD CAUSE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE OVERNIGHT. THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SURGE- RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TORNADOES...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER COASTAL PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND NORTH CAROLINA. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY FROM EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO COASTAL VIRGINIA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
