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#608500 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 17.Jun.2013) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1500 UTC MON JUN 17 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 87.6W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 87.6W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 87.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.9N 89.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.0N 91.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.8N 93.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.3N 94.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.7N 96.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 87.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |