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| #608612 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:03 AM 18.Jun.2013) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013 ...DEPRESSION MOVING INLAND OVER BELIZE... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.7N 88.9W ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NW OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER BELIZE AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...AND OVER EASTERN MEXICO BY LATE TUESDAY. THE DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE BY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS... ALONG WITH THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...TABASCO...VERACRUZ...AND THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA |
