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| #609323 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 20.Jun.2013) TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022013 1000 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF BARRY MADE LANDFALL BETWEEN 1200 AND 1300 UTC JUST NORTH OF VERACRUZ MEXICO WITH ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 KNOTS. SINCE THAT TIME...WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 35 KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING OVER WATER NEAR THE COAST. ALTHOUGH THE CENTER IS ALREADY INLAND...THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IN ADDITION...SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS WELL EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD WESTWARD PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS...PRIMARILY OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. BARRY IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS TRAPPED SOUTH OF NARROW HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN 24 HOURS OR SO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 19.6N 96.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 21/0000Z 19.6N 97.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 21/1200Z 19.6N 98.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
