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#615019 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 PM 09.Jul.2013)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
0300 UTC WED JUL 10 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARAHONA TO SAMANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 66.2W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 66.2W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 65.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.7N 69.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.6N 72.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.6N 75.1W...OVER LAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.6N 76.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.5N 78.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 66.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN