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| #615039 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:50 AM 10.Jul.2013) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 200 AM AST WED JUL 10 2013 ...CHANTAL BECOMING DISORGANIZED WHILE IT PASSES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 68.0W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SSE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM BARAHONA TO SAMANA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * CENTRAL BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT CHANTAL IS LOSING ORGANIZATION. AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST. CHANTAL HAS MOVED RAPIDLY WESTWARD NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/H OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA BY THIS AFTERNOON. CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR EASTERN CUBA EARLY THURSDAY AND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN OR CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATER ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE CHANTAL REACHES HISPANIOLA...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THAT TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM... MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN HAITI LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE |
