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| #615067 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 10.Jul.2013) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 500 AM AST WED JUL 10 2013 ...CHANTAL WEAKENING... ...MAY BE DEGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL WAVE... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 69.5W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM WSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA ARE DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA LATER TODAY...NEAR OR OVER EASTERN CUBA BY EARLY THURSDAY...AND NEAR CENTRAL CUBA BY LATE THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGES...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER DATA INDICATE THAT CHANTAL HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED...AND THE SYSTEM COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER THIS MORNING...AND HAITI LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS TONIGHT...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY EARLY THURSDAY. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE |
