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| #615167 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:50 PM 10.Jul.2013) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013 200 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013 ...SEARCHING FOR CHANTAL... ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS WORKING HARD TO FIND A CENTER... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 73.0W ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS * JAMAICA ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY IF CHANTAL DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST. CHANTAL IS RACING WESTWARD NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H. IF CHANTAL REMAINS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IS LIKELY IF CHANTAL DEGENERATES INTO A WAVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING CHANTAL SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE IS DEGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT HAITI TODAY...EVEN IF CHANTAL LOSES ITS STATUS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS IS DECREASING. STORM SURGE...LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA. RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
