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| #619513 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 25.Jul.2013) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 0300 UTC FRI JUL 26 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 39.6W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 15SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 39.6W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 38.7W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.2N 42.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.8N 46.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.3N 50.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 54.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 39.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
