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| #6222 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 27.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072004 2100Z FRI AUG 27 2004 AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 78.1W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 78.1W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 78.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 31.5N 78.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 32.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.8N 80.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 33.7N 79.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 35.1N 77.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 39.0N 74.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 42.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 78.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
