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#6224 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 27.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORMS OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER CLOSER TO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.94 INCHES. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 78.1 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |