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| #6227 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 27.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST FRI AUG 27 2004 ...FRANCES STRENGTHENS INTO THE THIRD CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE OF THE SEASON... INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES...1290 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A MOTION BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES FRANCES A CATEGORY THREE MAJOR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FRANCES COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.7 N... 49.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |
