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| #624938 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 17.Aug.2013) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013 2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 37.0W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 37.0W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 36.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 38.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.2N 40.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 42.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.5N 49.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 37.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
