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| #627265 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 26.Aug.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNAND ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 26 2013 ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER EASTERN MEXICO AS FERNAND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 97.7W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNAND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
