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#629762 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:44 PM 05.Sep.2013) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 200 PM AST THU SEP 05 2013 ...GABRIELLE WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 68.4W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH... 15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOUR OR SO. SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GABRIELLE REMAINS VERY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AS THE CENTER MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |