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| #6300 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 28.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST SAT AUG 28 2004 ...FRANCES SLOWS DOWN WHILE STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY... INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST OR ABOUT 740 MILES ...1190 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND FRANCES COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER BY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...17.4 N... 51.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 958 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |
