Show Selection: |
#630185 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 06.Sep.2013) TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 3...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 CORRECTED FOR INITIAL MOTION SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND. THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY DECREASING...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 25 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY SATURDAY AND DISSIPATE ENTIRELY BY 24 HOURS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF EASTERN MEXICO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235/07. A GENERAL SOUTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION AS THE CYCLONE IS STEERED BY A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO BE HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TAMAULIPAS AND SAN LUIS POTOSI...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0300Z 21.7N 98.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 07/1200Z 21.2N 99.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |