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#630910 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 10.Sep.2013) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 1500 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 27.7W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 27.7W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 27.4W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.3N 28.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.6N 29.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.5N 29.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N 29.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.5N 31.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 24.5N 34.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 25.0N 39.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 27.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |