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#630973 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 10.Sep.2013) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 2100 UTC TUE SEP 10 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 64.9W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 105SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 64.9W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 64.7W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.6N 65.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 34.3N 66.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 35.7N 66.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 42.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 90SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 52.0N 52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 64.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |