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| #631383 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 AM 12.Sep.2013) TCMAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 0900 UTC THU SEP 12 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 28.7W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 28.7W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 28.9W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.0N 29.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.5N 30.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 24.5N 31.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 25.1N 33.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.1N 38.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 27.3N 42.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 28.5N 45.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 28.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
