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| #631440 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 12.Sep.2013) TCMAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 1500 UTC THU SEP 12 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 29.0W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 70SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 220SE 120SW 170NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 29.0W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 29.0W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.3N 29.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 70SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.6N 31.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.4N 33.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.0N 35.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 29.0N 43.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 31.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 29.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
